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ABSTRACT OF PAPER
The Hicks-Malinvaud average period of production and 'marginal productivity': a critical assessment
Saverio M. Fratini
Malinvaud took up the concept of the average period of production
introduced by Hicks, in Value and Capital
and then Capital and Time, in an
article of 2003 celebrating Wicksell’s contribution to the theory of capital,
where he observed that once techniques are ranked according to the average
period for a given initial rate of interest, a rise in the rate of interest
entails the use of a technique with a shorter average period.
After a brief reconstruction of Malinvaud’s argument, it is shown that the
result is far less encouraging for neoclassical theory than it might seem. The
most important problem is not the fact that change in the interest rate affects
the average period of production associated with a technique, despite the
concern this aroused in Hicks and Malinvaud, but rather that it affects the
ranking of techniques. An example with two techniques is used to show that a
rise in the rate of interest entails the use of a technique with a shorter
average period even in the case of reswitching simply because the ranking of
techniques is inverted at the two switch points.
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