Advanced Economic Policy
Course objective
The course is a primer on optimal macroeconomic policies and
stabilization. Moving from basic theories and evidence on business
cycle, it discusses the costs and benefits of stabilization
according to different economic theories. The main policy
prescriptions of these theories are explored revising some keynote
contributions and models in the Real Business Cycle and New
Keynesian traditions. Final considerations address the actual role
of both fiscal and monetary stabilization policies in Europe.
Methodologically, most of the analysis will make use of dynamic
general equilibrium models (DSGE). The course content and
methodology are thought to provide students with those basic
knowledge and skills that are currently required both by public and
private institutions involved in the analysis and prediction of
macro dynamics (e.g. central banks, fiscal and financial
authorities, financial supervisory agencies, environmental
agencies, commercial banks, etc.).
Summary of the course content
- Introduction to the debate on macro stabilization policies.
- Foundations of business cycle theories and (DSGE) modeling: Real Business Cycle and New Keynesian contributions.
- Traditional macro stabilization policies and optimal policy rules: discretion versus rules.
- Optimal fiscal and monetary rules.
- Basic toolkits for solving dynamic models, analyzing their dynamics and simulating policy interventions.
- Business cycle stabilization at work: recent experiences and policy debate in the EU and abroad.
Detailed course program
Textbooks & mandatory readings
- [Main reference] Michael R. Wickens, ''Macroeconomic Theory: A Dynamic General
Equilibrium Approach'', Princeton University Press, 2008.
- [Reference] David Romer, ''Advanced Macroeconomics'', McGraw Hill, 3rd Edition,
2006.
Lecture notes (below) are also considered mandatory material.
Other reference material, including computer codes, will be
distributed during the course and are mostly contained in the Detailed course program above.
Readings
Course organization
- The course is of 60 hours of lectures, of which 10 hours will be of recitations. Recitations will focus on calibration and basic, RBC analysis.
- The course material will enterally be in English.
Recitations
Recitations will take place in the following dates: 20/4, 2/5, 3/5, 4/5, 9/5. Francesco Giuli (fgiuli@uniroma3.it) will be in charge of these sessions.
Recitations material
All
Lecture notes
Foundations of Neoclassical Macroeconomics (part 1- OK)
(Slides)
Foundations of Neoclassical Macroeconomics (part 2- OK)
Foundations of Neoclassical Macroeconomics (part 3- OK)
Foundations of Neoclassical Macroeconomics (part 4- OK )
Foundations of Neoclassical Macroeconomics (part 5- OK )
A toolkit on linear difference equations
Slides on Italian fiscal policy
On fiscal sustainability (lecture notes in Italian)
A simple, New Keynesian model for monetary policy (lecture notes in Italian)
More course material
Errata corrige Wickens' textbook (careful lot's of other typos!)
Business cycle and growth figures (USA old data from King & Rebello (1999))
Business cycle and growth figures (Italy 1991-2011)
OCSE Confidence Leading Indicators (Business Cycle)
Hodrick-Prescott filter (HP) (Excell add-in)
How to install HP filter add-in in Excell 2007 or later vers.
Problem set
Problem 1 (text)
Problem 2 (text)
Problem 3 (text)
Problem 4 (text)
Present economic policy debate
CEPR - Center for Economic Policy Research
VOX Europe
Lavoce.info
Some useful data sources
Eurostat
OCSE web page (macro data etc.)
ISTAT - Italian data
ISTAT - Italian (long) time series
AMECO annual macroec. database of the European Commission
More facts and data on business cycle (USA)
Economagic - US macroec. data
Practice exam
Text
Solutions
A mid-term exam for students regularly attending classes is scheduled on April 12, 2012.
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